Workbook for Volume 1 – Part V: Epilogue: Placing Volume 1 – Part V in Context: Procedural map for “Constructive Skepticism”
For new readers, please read the “Pinned Post” at the top of this Substack’s Home Page, and titled Why Use Public Peer-Review to Write a Book? - “See for Yourself”.
For returning readers & subscribers: Following a successful Boston Fintech Week 2023, (See the daily Dispatches in last four posts), and back to working on the public, peer-review of this book in three volumes and titled “Making Good Decisions” this post presents the revised version of: Volume 1 – Part V: Epilogue: Placing Volume 1 – Part V in Context: Procedural map for “Constructive Skepticism”.
Placing Volume 1 – Part V in Context: Procedural Map for “Constructive Skepticism”
In response to a reader’s request during the public, peer-review process on Substack, this second page of the Epilogue places the workbooks from Volume 1 in the context of a 10-step decision-making “Process” anchored in Rodolfo Llinás’ lesson from the “Tale of the Sea Squirt” (See Volume 1 – Part I: Section #1): “Brains” exist to manage “Motions” through “Predictions”.
This seemingly simple model connects otherwise distant theoretical and empirical dots, thus (i) Inventories model-building “Tools, Checklists” & “Processes”, (ii) Documents matching “Axioms, Assumptions & Hypotheses”, (iii) Catalogs empirical “Puzzles, Paradoxes & Anomalies”, and (iv) Evaluates the presence of “Willful Ignorance, Error & Deceit” into an iterative “Procedure” for using “Constructive Skepticism” in decision-making focused on a “Prudent Exchange of Risks”, as follows:
a- Look at your operational “Model of Self”, Perspective & Point of View”, and the default “Strength of Evidence” that comes from the “Metaphors, Methods & Methodologies” behind your thinking
b- Inventory the “Tools, Checklists & Processes” that models (yours and other people’s) use to emulate reality (“Observe” step in the “OODA Loop”)
c- Document the “Axioms, Assumptions & Hypotheses” behind the models (“Observe” step in the “OODA Loop”)
d- Catalog the empirical “Puzzles, Paradoxes & Anomalies” that derive from model “Predictions” (“Observe” step in the “OODA Loop”)
e- Recognize and estimate the intended & unintended consequences from “Willful Ignorance, Error & Deceit” (“Orient” step in the “OODA Loop”)
f- Define the “Box”, and look outside-the-box for alternatives that solve the “Puzzles, Paradoxes, & Anomalies” (“Orient” step in the “OODA Loop”)
g- Reiterate the first four steps for any alternative “Model of Self”, Perspective & Point of View”
h- Decide when to “Trust Them”, ask them to “Show Me” or to “See for Yourself” in order to make good individual, business, and investment decisions (“Decide” step in the “OODA Loop”)
i- Execute a “Motion” based on a “Prediction” (“Act” step in the “OODA Loop”)
j- Monitor impacts in the “Task Environment” as well as on your “Model of Self”
See link to the matching pdf file below:
“CTRI by Francois Gadenne” writes a book in three volumes, published at the rate of one two-pages section per day on Substack for public peer-review. The book connects the dots of life-enhancing practices for the next generation, free of controlling algorithms, based on the lifetime experience of a retirement age entrepreneur, & continuously updated with insights from reading Wealth, Health, & Statistics (i.e. AI/ML/LLM) research papers on behalf of large companies as the co-founder of CTRI.