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Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions” – Revised Part I

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing: “Making Good Decisions”

Book Editing – "Making Good Decisions"

Book Editing - "Making Good Decisions"

Book Editing – Revised Part I

Book Editing – Revised Part I

Book Editing – Revised Introduction with New Section on “Bionic Reading(r)”

Book Draft - Epilogue

Book Draft, Part V - Section #12: The Template to Read Research Papers as a Checklist

Book Draft, Part V - Section #11: Using the Template to Read Research Papers

Book Draft, Part V - Section #10: Using the Template to Read Research Papers

Book Draft, Part V - Section #9: Using the Template to Read Research Papers

Book Draft, Part V - Section #8: Using the Template to Read Research Papers

Book Draft, Part V - Section #7: Using the Template to Read Research Papers

Book Draft, Part V - Section #6: Using the Template to Read Research Papers

Book Draft, Part V - Section #5: Using the Template to Read Research Papers

Book Draft, Part V - Section #4: Using the Template to Read Research Papers

Book Draft, Part V - Section #3: Using the Template to Read Research Papers

Book Draft, Part V - Section #2: An Evolving Template to Read Research Papers

Book Draft, Part V - Section #1: Building a Template to Read Research Papers

Book Draft, Part IV - Section #53: From Part IV – Making Good Investment Decisions to Part V – Template for Reading Research Papers

Book Draft, Part IV - Section #52: “Calculated Projections” with the Tools of the 21st Century (10 of 10)

Book Draft, Part IV - Section #51: “Calculated Projections” with the Tools of the 21st Century (9 of 10)

Book Draft, Part IV - Section #50: “Calculated Projections” with the Tools of the 21st Century (8 of 10)

Book Draft, Part IV - Section #49: “Calculated Projections” with the Tools of the 21st Century (7 of 10)

Book Draft, Part IV - Section #48: “Calculated Projections” with the Tools of the 21st Century (6 of 10)

Book Draft, Part IV - Section #47: “Calculated Projections” with the Tools of the 21st Century (5 of 10)

Book Draft, Part IV - Section #46: “Calculated Projections” with the Tools of the 21st Century (4 of 10)

Book Draft, Part IV - Section #45: “Calculated Projections” with the Tools of the 21st Century (3 of 10)

Book Draft, Part IV - Section #44: “Calculated Projections” with the Tools of the 21st Century (2 of 10)

Book Draft, Part IV - Section #43: “Calculated Projections” with the Tools of the 21st Century (1 of 10)

Book Draft, Part IV - Section #42: Foundational Papers of the 21st Century (3 of 3)

Book Draft, Part IV - Section #41: Foundational Papers of the 21st Century (2 of 3)

Book Draft, Part IV - Section #40: Foundational Papers of the 21st Century (1 of 3)

Book Draft, Part IV - Section #39: From the 20th to the 21st Century

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #38: “Calculated Projections” with Tools from the 20th Century, Post-WWII

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #37: “Calculated Projections” with Tools from the 20th Century, Post-WWII

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #36: “Calculated Projections” with Tools from the 20th Century, Post-WWII

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #35: “Calculated Projections” with Tools from the 20th Century, Post-WWII

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #34: “Calculated Projections” with Tools from the 20th Century, Post-WWII

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #33: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century, Post-WWII (15 of 15)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #32: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century, Post-WWII (14 of 15)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #31: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century, Post-WWII (13 of 15)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #30: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century, Post-WWII (12 of 15)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #29: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century, Post-WWII (11 of 15)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #28: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century, Post-WWII (10 of 15)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #27: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century, Post-WWII (9 of 15)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #26: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century, Post-WWII (8 of 15)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #25: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century, Post-WWII (7 of 15)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #24: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century, Post-WWII (6 of 15)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #23: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century, Post-WWII (5 of 15)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #22: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century, Post-WWII (4 of 15)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #21: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century, Post-WWII (3 of 15)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #20: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century, Post-WWII (3 of 15)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #19: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century, Post-WWII (2 of 15)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #18: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century, Post-WWII (1 of 15)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #17: Calculating Projections with Pre-WWII 20th Century Tools

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #16: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century to WWII (3 of 3)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #15: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century to WWII (2 of 3)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #14: Foundational Papers from the 20th Century to WWII (1 of 3) -

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #10, #11, #12 & #13: Calculating Projections with 19th Century Tools (1,2,3 & 4 of 4)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #9: The Calculated Projections of the 19th Century

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #8: Foundational Papers from the 19th Century & Before (5 of 5)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #7: Foundational Papers from the 19th Century & Before (4 of 5)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #6: Foundational Papers from the 19th Century & Before (3 of 5)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #5: Foundational Papers from the 19th Century & Before (2 of 5)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #4: Foundational Papers from the 19th Century & Before (1 of 5)

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #3: Going Back to Foundational Papers

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #2: The Ecological Rationality of Ergodicity Economics

Book Draft, Part IV, Section #1: AI/ML as a Proxy for the State-of-the-Art in the Application of the Logic & Statistics Program to Financial Economics

Book Draft for Paying Subscribers: Cumulative Release of Part I, Part II, and Part III

Book Draft, Part III, Section #18: Individuals & Ecosystems that Move Markets

Book Draft, Part III, Section #17: Crypto Business Ecosystems

Book Draft, Part III, Section #16: The Psychology of the Productive Host

Book Draft, Part III, Section #15: Organizational Structures for Luck-Compounding Machines

Book Draft, Part III, Section #14: Audiences for Luck-Compounding Machines

Book Draft, Part III, Section #13: Business Models for Luck-Compounding Machines

Book Draft, Part III, Section #12: Build Luck-Compounding Machines (3 of 3)

Book Draft, Part III, Section #11: Build Luck-Compounding Machines (2 of 3)

Book Draft, Part III, Section #10: Build Luck-Compounding Machines (1 of 3)

Book Draft, Part III, Section #9: Trust Structures for Business Ecosystems

Book Draft, Part III, Section #8: Fixing Foils in the Flow

Book Draft, Part III, Section #7: The Ecological Rationality of a Foil in the Flow

Book Draft, Part III, Section #6: The Experience of a Foil in the Flow

Book Draft, Part III, Section #5: The Meaning of the Garrett Relation

Book Draft, Part III, Section #4: The Measure of the Garrett Relation

Book Draft, Part III, Section #3: The Garret Relation Expands the Porter Model

Book Draft, Part III, Section #2: CTRI’s Business Ecosystem Template (BET)

Book Draft, Part III, Section #1: The Legacy of Strategy Consulting

Book Draft for Paying Subscribers: Part I &Part II

Book Draft, Part II, Section #28: From Individual Decisions to Business Decisions

Book Draft, Part II, Section #27: La Deformation Professionelle

Book Draft, Part II, Section #26: The Facts, the Good Story, and the Real Story

Book Draft, Part II, Section #25: Don’t Fall in the Outrage Trap

Book Draft, Part II, Section #24: Heuristic Processes that Improve the Odds

Book Draft, Part II, Section #23: Reference Narrative Mnemonics for Heuristics

Book Draft, Part II, Section #22: The Natural Effectiveness of Heuristics

Book Draft, Part II, Section #21: Ergodicity Economics

Book Draft, Part II, Section #20: The Heuristics & Bias Program

Book Draft, Part II, Section #19: A Hierarchy of “Simulated Illusions”

Book Draft, Part II, Section #18: The Transition Quadrants

Book Draft, Part II, Section #17: Trust Structures for Machine-Conjured Reality

Book Draft, Part II, Section #16: The Tribes of AI

Book Draft, Part II, Section #15: “The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Data”

Book Draft for Paying Subscribers: Part I and Part II up to Section #14

Book Draft, Part II, Section #14: From Statistics to “Big Data”

Book Draft, Part II, Section #13: Remember the “Black Swans”

Book Draft, Part II, Section #12: The Tools of the Logic & Statistics Program Suffer from Reproducibility and Dimensionality Problems

Book Draft, Part II, Section #11: Valid Modeling of Individual Decision-Making under Uncertainty with the Logic & Statistics Program Implies Critical Assumptions from “Small Worlds” Games of Chance

Book Draft, Part II, Section #10: Probabilities: A Measure of Stability or a Measure of Ignorance?

Book Draft, Part II, Section #9: Proving “Visible Explanations” with “Expected Wealth” Leads to Finding “Concealed Evidence” of Randomness

Book Draft, Part II, Section #8: “Proving Visible Explanations” with the “Expected Utility of Wealth”

Book Draft, Part II, Section #7: “Proving Visible Explanations” with “Expected Wealth”

Book Draft, Part II, Section #6: "Hamming" on Mathematics as a “Flexible Rule”

Book Draft, Part II, Section #5: Training Perceptions to See Beyond "Number Magic"

Book Draft, Part II, Section #4: Seeing the “Figure” from the “Ground”

Book Draft, Part II, Section #3: Training Perception to See Beyond “Word Magic"

Book Draft, Part II, Section #2: Descent in the Maelstrom of Observations

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Part II “Individual Decisions”

Book Draft: "Making Good Decisions"

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Part I Summary

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 43&44

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 41&42

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 37 to 40

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 35 & 36

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 33 & 34

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 31 & 32

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 29 & 30

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 27 & 28

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 25 & 26

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 23 & 24

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 18 to 22

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 16 & 17

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 14 & 15

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 12 & 13

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 10 & 11

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 8 & 9

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 6 & 7

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 4 & 5

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions – Pages 2 & 3

Book Draft: Making Good Decisions - Page 1

Building Luck-Compounding Machines

Partial Book Draft for Subscribers

Cascading from Life’s Lottery to Performing Skillful Action

A Reader Asks: Tell Me More About Tim Garrett

Making Good Decisions with Machine Learning Algorithms

Trust Structures for Machine-Conjuring of Reality

From “Models for Ensemble Statistical Doubt” to “Markets for Individual Clinical Ambiguity”

Deleted Post - Updated July 31, 2023

Today's Subscriber Post

Three-Month Update to the Logical Table of Contents

“1/N” Heuristic as True Value for Loss Functions

The Constrained Task Environments of the Logic & Statistics Program

Are Heuristics Statistics?

Elie Mounzer Asks About Taleb’s Fourth Quadrant

The Natural Effectiveness of Heuristics

Logical Table of Contents for Readers

A Reader Asks: “Tell Me More About Rodolfo LLinás”

From Individual Decision-Making to Business Decision-Making

Knowledge, Belief, & Wonder: The Paradox of Playing Finite Games

“The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Data”

Two-Month Review: The Arc of Development

“The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Mathematics”

"The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Mathematics in the Natural Sciences”

“i of the Vortex”

“Small Worlds” Statistics, “Large World” Heuristics

The Fiercening of Individual Competition

What Happened to Strategy Consulting since the 1980s?

Readers Ask: Have You Looked at Crypto-assets and the Metaverse with the BET?

Plain and Practical

Fall Like a Foil in the Flow

Collecting Shells on the Beach of Time

The Business Ecosystem Template Expands the Porter Model

Business as a Sail in the Wind

“Squares & Sharps, Suckers & Sharks”

Boyd Makes Cipolla’s Laws of Stupidity Practical by Way of Spinoza

Cipolla’s Basic Laws of Human Stupidity

Seeing the Unseen

Posting Schedule During Business Travel

A Reader Asks: Tell Me More About John Boyd

Mapping “Large World” Decision-Making – Part II

“Function in Disaster, Finish in Style”

A Criminologist Looks at the Reproducibility of Research

Drama, Tragedy, and Risk Management

Memories of Conferences Past, and Path Dependencies

A Forwarded E-Mail Recipient Asks: What Do I Do Next?

Third Day of EE 2022: Rory Sutherland Brands EE

Second Day of EE 2022: Tomasz Kopczewski’s A/B Game

First Day of EE 2022: Answering John Kay’s Question

A Reader Asks: Tell Me More about James P. Carse

Mapping “Large World” Decision-Making

A Reader Asks for A Review of a Pitch Book

Reference Narratives for “Large-World” Decisions

EE 2022 Conference and Radical Uncertainty

Learning to Fail Successfully

More Questions from Readers, Subscribers, and Founding Members

Questions from Readers, Subscribers, and Founding Members

Become the Client to Bring the Map Closer to the Territory

Freedom!

Translating Institutional Methodologies into Individual Survival

Translating Institutional Competition into Individual Survival

“A map is not the territory”

Coming soon